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Are we ready for an Exaflood?

February 7th 2008 09:18
It's a report from the Discovery Institute, a controversial think tank that promotes Intelligent Design. I'm happy to ignore anything that comes out of this group, but they claimed an interesting term with this report on the estimate of American data movement in the future.


Their interests are obvious... they want to promote a Christian government and the push for technology to spur the American economy.

According to the report, by 2015:


"Today it is happening. We estimate that in the U.S. by 2015:

- movie downloads and P2P file sharing could be 100 exabytes
- video calling and virtual windows could generate 400 exabytes
- “cloud” computing and remote backup could total 50 exabytes
- Internet video, gaming, and virtual worlds could produce 200 exabytes
- non-Internet “IPTV” could reach 100 exabytes, and possibly much more
- business IP traffic will generate some 100 exabytes
- other applications (phone, Web, e-mail, photos, music) could be 50 exabytes"

Great! What's an exabyte?

Exa is a prefix which means 10^18. Currently, hard drives are measured in GB, which means 1 billion bytes. Your hard drive is probably between 40 and 500 GB, but they're on their way to 1 TB, which is one trillion bytes, or 1000 GB.

An exabyte (EB)is one billion billion bytes, or 1 000 000 000 000 000 000 bytes.

The Discovery Institute predicts that the net data transfer in/out of the US is going to be measured in 100s of EBs, maybe even hitting a zetabyte (ZB).


I'm looking forward to all of these symbols.

(found on Nyquist Capital)

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